Probabilistic Stability and Sensitivity Analysis of Rock Slope Subjected to Seismic Loading
Himatul Farichah (a*), Dio Alif Hutama (b)
(a,b,c) Department of Civil Engineering, University of Muhammadiyah Surabaya
*himatulfarichah[at]ft.um-surabaya.ac.id
Abstract
Being located on the Pacific Ring of Fire, Indonesia has to cope with the constant risk of earthquakes which often trigger landslides in mountainous area, causing significant and even catastrophic damage. This paper presents probabilistic stability and sensitivity analysis of rock slope subjected to seismic loading based on Generalized Hoek-Brown failure criterion. Two approaches namely Limit Equilibrium Method (LEM) and Finite Element Method (FEM) were utilized using computer programs of Rocscience Slide and Phase2, respectively. The Generalized Hoek-Brown parameters such as, σci, GSI and mi were distributed normally with their coefficients of variation (COVs) of 0.25, 0.125 and 0.1, respectively. The different seismic loadings were then subjected to the rock slopes and the probability of failure (Pf) was evaluated for each slope. Eventually, the results of Pf obtaining from LEM and FEM were compared and the most decisive parameter in slope stability were evaluated in sensitivity analysis.
Keywords: Probability of Failure, Rock Slope Stability, Seismic Loading, Generalized Hoek-Brown.
Topic: Civil Engineering