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Abstract Objective: This study aims to forecasting the incidence of patient safety to improve the quality of hospital services Methods: This research is an analytic observational study with a cross-sectional design. The sample of this study is all reports of patient safety incidents in 2016-2018 which consist of five types there are potential injury events, near-injury events, non-injury events, unexpected events, sentinel events, and risk grading at one of the hospital in special region of Yogyakarta Results: Based on the five types of patient safety incidents it was known that there was a decline approximately 73% in the incidence of near-injury conditions from 2016 to 2018, whereas in 2019 there were no estimated incidents. Overall forecasts in 2019 on safety incidents based on patient safety goals, type of incidents, types of services and risk grading of green and yellow have decreased Conclusion: The incidence of patient safety tends to decrease; this indicates that patient safety culture has been applied.