Analysis of Potential Export Diversification of Rubber Tire Derivative Products to 9 Non-Traditional Countries Aulia Niky Pinandhita dan Neli Agustina
Statistics of Kapuas Regency, Central Kalimantan and Politeknik Statistika STIS, Jakarta
Abstract
Indonesias economic resilience is in a vulnerable condition amid the high global economic challenges. For this reason, there is a need for a strategy to improve the economy sustainably, one of which is through increasing and stabilizing exports. However, so far the Indonesian export market has only been concentrated in the main destination countries (traditional countries) such as the United States, Japan and the European Union, which causes export performance to be unstable due to the economic shocks experienced by these destination countries. This happened in rubber tire products, from 2001-2016 exports increased but tended to be unstable. So that to increase and stabilize rubber tire exports, we can do market expansion (diversification) to potentially non-traditional countries. The study aims to identify non-traditional countries that have the potential to diversify the export market of rubber tire derivative products using the Export Product Dynamic (EPD) analysis and analyze the variables that affect rubber tire exports to non-traditional countries in 2001-2016 using panel data regression. The results showed that potential non-traditional countries for the diversification of the car tire export market were Brazil, the Philippines, Canada, Mexico and Egypt, for bus tires and lorries were the Philippines and Mexico, while bicycle tires were the Philippines and Egypt. Variable GDP per capita, export prices of rubber tires and economic distance affect the export volume of rubber tires. While the real exchange rate and the export volume of rubber tires apart from Indonesia have no effect.
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