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CAN TRADE INTEGRATION LEAD TO ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CONVERGENCE?
Ansofino, Zusmelia, Lovely Dwinda Dahen, Yolamalinda

Economic Department STKIP PGRI Sumatra Barat


Abstract

ABSTRACT The main focus of this research is to analyze the integration of Indonesias rubber trade with countries in the ASEAN region and how this trade integration affects the convergence of development in the ASEAN region. This study uses panel data from 1989-2017 with five ASEAN countries as a rubber export destination. The analysis method used is the principal component analysis (PCA) method that measures the integration of Indonesias rubber trade with the ASEAN region, and the fixed effect method (FEM) approach to examine the impact of trade integration on regional economic development convergence. The results showed that the greater integration of Indonesias rubber trade with ASEAN countries was marked by the principal value of its component analysis (PCA) which grew from 1989 to 2017. Increased integration of this rubber trade with the ASEAN region is also very dependent on regional and global economic conditions When regional and global economies experience a decline, the intensity of Indonesias rubber trade also fluctuates towards decreasing. Changes in economic progress shown by changes in the value of GDP greatly affect the strength of the integration of Indonesias rubber trade with the country concerned, changes in the value of GDP of rubber export destination countries have led to the convergence of Indonesias economy with Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam, and experienced divergence with Malaysia and the Philippines.

Keywords: Trade integration, principal component analysis, convergence economy

Topic: Development Studies

Link: https://ifory.id/abstract/NmUab7uB3HDF

Conference: Social and Humaniora Research Symposium (SoRes 2019)

Plain Format | Corresponding Author (Ansofino, M.Si Ansofino)

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